Alphabet

Dow Futures indicate a mixed opening in the market. Earnings are currently in focus following the announcement from the owner of Google, indicating a potential significant increase in spending this year to support its artificial intelligence objectives. Artificial intelligence will also influence the outcomes from the e-commerce giant following the closing bell. Central bank decisions in Europe are of significant importance, as gold and prices experience a decline.

Dow Futures fluctuated near the neutral point on Thursday, as investors analyzed the earnings reports from major technology firms and evaluated the implications of a recent decline in software stocks. By 02:44, the Dow futures contract had declined by 39 points, or 0.1%, while other futures had increased by 6 points, or 0.1%, and additional futures had ascended by 65 points, or 0.3%. The primary indices exhibited a mixed performance in the prior session, as market participants endeavored to identify a bottom in the downturn of software stocks. AI hardware groups experienced a setback. The sector, encompassing firms traditionally viewed as beneficiaries of the artificial intelligence surge, is now facing escalating concerns that this emerging technology may significantly disrupt their operations. As of Tuesday, a tracker of software stocks experienced its most significant three-month decline since 2002, in comparison to the benchmark S&P 500. As the search intensifies for software firms poised to recover from recent losses, analysts indicate a growing divide within the sector, distinguishing between those identified as AI winners and those categorized as losers.

Alphabet has seemingly positioned itself at the forefront of the AI arms race, bolstered by impressive earnings from its Google parent company. Historically perceived as lagging behind OpenAI, analysts indicate that robust quarterly returns suggest Alphabet is starting to realize concrete benefits from its significant investments in AI. This contrasts with OpenAI, which continues to operate at a loss. “Overall, we’re seeing our AI investments and infrastructure drive revenue and growth across the board,” stated CEO Sundar Pichai. Google’s Gemini AI tool, a direct competitor of ChatGPT, achieved 750 million monthly active users in the December quarter, nearing the over 800 million reported by ChatGPT in October. Executives at Alphabet suggested a potential increase in capital expenditures this year, projecting a range of $175 billion to $185 billion. This move underscores the company’s commitment to significantly expand its high-end data centers and the chips that support AI models. Despite initial resistance from investors regarding the proposal for increased expenditure, a surge in revenue from Google’s cloud division, along with robust performance in its other sectors, alleviated these concerns. Shares of Alphabet were slightly lower in extended hours dealmaking, but pared deeper losses.

Attention now shifts to Amazon, the e-commerce behemoth that has prominently integrated AI into its strategic vision for the future. While the cloud computing segment, particularly Amazon Web Services, continues to be a significant revenue driver, the company’s aspirations in artificial intelligence have captured the attention of investors. In that regard, some have perceived Amazon as a relative laggard in AI, a perception that has the potential to negatively impact sentiment surrounding the company. Despite its status as a member of the large-cap tech titans that have driven a prolonged stock bull market, Amazon’s share price has experienced a decline of over 1% in the past year. In October, Amazon reported revenue growth driven by AI and outlined strategies for the rapid expansion of its data center capacity. For the pivotal holiday quarter, Amazon is anticipated to report a 21% increase in AWS net sales, excluding the impact of foreign exchange fluctuations. Overall net sales are projected to reach $211.49 billion, while earnings per share are anticipated to be $1.96, based on current estimates.

Outside the corporate sector, the European Central Bank is anticipated to maintain interest rates at 2% for the fifth consecutive meeting on Thursday. However, a significant decline in eurozone inflation in January may prompt concerns among policymakers. Recent data indicated that Eurozone CPI inflation decreased to 1.7% year-on-year in January, a decline from the 1.9% recorded in December. This figure fell short of the ECB’s 2% target for price increases. In a note to clients on Wednesday, economists at Deutsche Bank, including Mark Wall and Peter Sidorov, indicated that while rates are expected to remain unchanged in 2026, the risks have increasingly tilted towards “further easing given the expected undershoot of the inflation target.” Recent events, including the appreciation of the euro against a weakening U.S. dollar, have highlighted this risk; however, the analysts noted that the case for further rate reductions “has not been proven yet.” In other developments, the Bank of England is anticipated to uphold its existing interest rate of 3.75% in the upcoming session, as analysts point to ongoing inflation worries despite indications of a softening labor market.

Gold prices declined, undoing previous increases, while silver experienced a significant drop, marking a stark turnaround from a brief recovery observed earlier this week. A rout in metal markets largely resumed after a brief respite this week, as the strength of the U.S. dollar, in anticipation of central bank meetings in Europe, exerted pressure on the sector. Silver exhibited the most significant decline among metals, with spot silver plummeting by as much as 16% to $73.5565 per ounce during Asian trading hours. Silver futures for March experienced a significant decline, reaching an intraday low of $73.383 per ounce. Chinese markets experienced losses, as a rout in Shanghai silver futures extended into spot trade. The declines have resulted in silver effectively erasing a recent rebound, bringing it back into proximity of the lows experienced last week. “Even as prices of precious metals are now less elevated following the correction, sensitivity to the dollar, yield repricing, and uncertainty around Fed policy under new leadership remains high.” While positioning has likely reset to some extent, confidence may not have fully restored, indicating a potential period of choppier, two-way trading,” Christopher Wong stated.