A month ago, Alphabet briefly surpassed Nvidia by market cap. The stock has experienced a continuous decline, culminating in its fourth consecutive weekly decrease, marking the longest losing streak in over a year. That is the prevailing sentiment in the market as Alphabet seeks to secure $85 billion in new capital to support its artificial intelligence expansion. While Google has been a favoured megacap tech name on Wall Street over the past year, a degree of scepticism is beginning to emerge as the cash-rich company pursues additional funding for infrastructure and to enhance AI models that it aims to position against offerings from Anthropic and OpenAI. “I never thought Google would need to hit the public markets to raise money to fund their spending,” Dan Niles said in an interview. Niles stated that Alphabet possesses “the best stack in all of AI” at scale, referencing its models, tensor processing units, or TPUs, Android distribution, cloud business, and search dominance. He contended that this strength is what makes the equity rise particularly striking. Similar to its hyperscaler counterparts, Google is allocating unprecedented amounts of capital towards the establishment of new data centers, as well as the acquisition of the chips and systems essential to meet the escalating demand for AI computing.
In April, the company revised its guidance for capital expenditures for the year, increasing it to a maximum of $190 billion from the previous estimate of $185 billion. Prior to its announcement on Monday regarding a $80 billion equity sales initiative, which included a $10 billion investment from Berkshire Hathaway, and subsequently increasing that figure to $85 billion on Wednesday, Google had already obtained over $55 billion in new debt since November. Melius Research estimates that Google’s free cash flow will turn negative for the next few years as capital expenditures on AI increase. Until very recently, investors were entirely supportive. Alphabet shares have appreciated approximately 120% over the past year, despite a four-week pullback, and achieved a peak in mid-May. However, a lacklustre presentation at Google I/O last month, coupled with apprehensions regarding the company’s significant lag in AI coding models, played a role in the recent sell-off. There exists a significant impetus for Alphabet to expedite its entry into the equity market: initial public offerings. SpaceX is poised to enter the Nasdaq next week, targeting a historic $75 billion in its initial share offering. Anthropic has confidentially filed for an initial public offering, while OpenAI is anticipated to follow suit in the near future. The largest IPO in history to date was Alibaba’s $21.8 billion raise in 2014. Each of the three mega offerings on the horizon is expected to generate several multiples of that amount.
Alphabet may be considering accessing capital markets at this juncture to fortify its balance sheet prior to soliciting substantial investments from stakeholders for upcoming AI initiatives. Niles stated that capital is not infinite, regardless of the substantial influx into the AI sector. Alphabet is framing the increase as a strategy to maintain financial flexibility as it ramps up expenditures. Executives have indicated to investors that robust access to global debt and equity markets is increasingly viewed as a strategic advantage in light of the growing demand for AI. CEO Sundar Pichai stated in an investor presentation that demand from enterprises and consumers is “meaningfully exceeding” Alphabet’s available supply, describing it as “a clear indicator of Alphabet’s unique opportunity.” Pichai stated “Supporting all of this at scale for our users, while also serving enterprises and developers around the world, requires massive compute investments.” Following a substantial increase in Alphabet’s capital expenditures this year, Pichai indicated an expectation for a “significant increase” once more in 2027, with the vast majority allocated to technical infrastructure. CFO Anat Ashkenazi described the equity offering as “a strategic proactive move to optimise our financial flexibility and maximise long-term shareholder value creation.”
Alphabet’s assertion is that the expenditures are already manifesting in the operations, particularly within the cloud sector. Google Cloud revenue surged 63% year over year in the first quarter, reaching a record $20 billion, while backlog nearly doubled sequentially to exceed $460 billion. Ashkenazi stated that AI solutions have emerged as the predominant driver of cloud growth for the first time, noting that 75% of cloud customers are utilising Alphabet’s AI products. The company is endeavouring to demonstrate that its scale enhances the value of each additional dollar invested in AI infrastructure, surpassing the potential value for its competitors. Alphabet reported a 78% reduction in Gemini serving costs since 2025, with Ashkenazi noting that enhancements in hardware and engineering have led to a more than 30% decrease in the cost of core AI responses since the introduction of Gemini 3. Efficiency gains are essential as companies persist in increasing their expenditures on inference, model training, and AI coding. Meanwhile, the company’s AI products are experiencing a surge in popularity.
Pichai stated in the presentation that AI Overviews currently boasts over 2.5 billion monthly users, whereas AI Mode has exceeded 1 billion monthly users just one year post-launch. Analysts indicated in a report that additional capital raises are probable within the hyperscaler sector, as major players endeavour to meet demand and prevent lagging behind competitors. Goldman Sachs CEO David Solomon, whose firm is involved in the Alphabet transaction, indicated that the equity offering will serve as a market test, referring to it as the “first actual concrete data point” for these substantial AI share sales. He cautioned that, although there is ample liquidity worldwide to support the existing financing levels, market sentiment can shift rapidly, particularly in light of the extraordinary volume of capital being accumulated. “We are definitely in a moment where there’s more greed than there is fear,” Solomon told. “When capital is available, if you are capital consumptive and it is accessible, seize the capital.”